Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.608765e-03 0.001775 0.001943 0.002123 0.002310 0.002501 0.002707
2025-01-12 1.324742e-03 0.001578 0.001840 0.002132 0.002445 0.002769 0.003129
2025-01-19 1.051657e-03 0.001364 0.001702 0.002088 0.002514 0.002964 0.003474
2025-01-26 8.548023e-04 0.001214 0.001617 0.002091 0.002626 0.003203 0.003866
2025-02-02 6.943737e-04 0.001087 0.001545 0.002100 0.002739 0.003440 0.004257
2025-02-09 5.993771e-04 0.001027 0.001543 0.002183 0.002933 0.003766 0.004745
2025-02-16 5.225949e-04 0.000980 0.001550 0.002272 0.003132 0.004096 0.005240
2025-02-23 3.793751e-04 0.000826 0.001413 0.002181 0.003112 0.004174 0.005447
2025-03-02 2.754055e-04 0.000709 0.001312 0.002123 0.003127 0.004286 0.005688
2025-03-09 2.035522e-04 0.000626 0.001247 0.002105 0.003184 0.004444 0.005980
2025-03-16 1.517027e-04 0.000565 0.001204 0.002111 0.003268 0.004630 0.006302
2025-03-23 1.219455e-04 0.000536 0.001204 0.002170 0.003414 0.004889 0.006709
2025-03-30 8.705798e-05 0.000491 0.001183 0.002207 0.003544 0.005141 0.007121
2025-04-06 5.398598e-05 0.000437 0.001143 0.002217 0.003640 0.005354 0.007493
2025-04-13 2.316759e-05 0.000364 0.001067 0.002173 0.003665 0.005481 0.007763
2025-04-20 8.090670e-06 0.000317 0.001026 0.002176 0.003749 0.005681 0.008119
2025-04-27 9.868959e-07 0.000277 0.000992 0.002186 0.003841 0.005887 0.008484
2025-05-04 6.215123e-11 0.000266 0.001009 0.002270 0.004030 0.006215 0.008995
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000258 0.001032 0.002361 0.004229 0.006555 0.009520
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000194 0.000934 0.002268 0.004179 0.006583 0.009668
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000148 0.000863 0.002209 0.004171 0.006663 0.009878
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000119 0.000820 0.002191 0.004217 0.006807 0.010164
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000098 0.000793 0.002197 0.004294 0.006991 0.010498